The end of Moores Law

This post was originally written on December 2, 2003

Today, ZD Net sent the following paragraph in their daily email news blast:

Moore’s Law, as chip manufacturers generally refer to it today, is coming to an end, according to a recent research paper. That ultimate barrier to building increasingly powerful chips with smaller transistors is still a few decades away, but Intel researchers are already looking to new technologies, such as carbon nanotubes, silicon nanowires and 3D chips, to even surpass Moore’s Law. Intel will clearly invest whatever it takes to defend its turf, but the next decade will be marked by huge R&D investments from all corners of the earth to develop chips that will dominate future generations of digital as well as human bio-devices.

What is the state of the Chip market today in 2018.  Are we still using silicon chips?  Are we still 2 generations away from the end of Moore’s Law (2021)?  What Technologies are we using, or is this article just laughable as we got to the end of Moore’s Law years ago?

Post a comment and tell what life was like at the turn of the millenium.

Are we there yet?

The IEEE Spectrum magazine of February 2008, in an article on 60Ghz silicon transceivers, said:

The electronic devices in our homes and offices will be chattering furiously and wirelessly in another five to 10 years.  Cables will go the way of the buggy whip.

I certainly hope this is true, but today, 22-Feb-2008, I’m wondering if this will be true with another technology like optical instead of electro-mechanical means.

Cyber-crime – the growing threat

“It’s growing so quickly that we’ve got to run to stand still” – that is the sobering assessment of the battle against cyber-crime from Steven Wilson head of Europol’s cyber-crime centre.

via BBC.com

ROT

Took the following out of some IT vendor’s email that I got:

ROT – redundant, outdated and trivial data – routinely clogs servers making it hard to distinguish the good data from the bad without a little help.

I really like it, it goes right with bitrot, something that I see all the time.

A Visit from Old St. Geek

‘Twas the night before Christmas, when all through the house
Not a hard drive was whirring, nor clicking of mouse;
The PC’s were unplugged from the network with care,
In hopes that a new version soon would be there;

The users were safe at home in their beds,
While screenshots of a new interface danced in their heads;
And the sys admin in his jeans, and I in my suede,
Had just hunkered down for a version upgrade,

When from the hard drive there arose such a clatter,
I sprang from the seat to see what was the matter.
It clanged and it ground and smoke it did spew
And I swore I could smell the NIC frying too.

I reached for the keyboard and those magic three keys
But not in time could I get to “CTRL-ALT-DELETE”
The hard drive kept charging like some renegade
And I knew we were at the mercy of this version upgrade.

So outside I went for a nicotine binge
Knowing my job on this upgrade did hinge!
The vendor had promised this software would work!
But now where was he? At home, like a jerk!

The moon shone bright on the two cars in the lot
Just mine and the sys admin’s, that sorry sot.
When what to my wondering eyes should appear
A man in a VeeDub, smiling from ear to ear.

In his bag he carried books of languages of yore,
Pascal, Fortran, Cobol, Basic and more.
With a pocket protector and a shirt that was untucked,
I knew my problems were solved; I was no longer in trouble.

Yes I knew in an instant tho I could hardly speak,
I had been blessed by a visit from old St. Geek.
His clothes were unkempt; his shoes could have been cleaner,
But I was just happy to see his calm demeanor.

I stood there staring like a stop for the door
When he snapped his fingers and said, “Quick! To the raised floor!”
So I led the way down the halls to the IT server room
I led him in the door and not a moment too soon.

He jumped to the console and had nary a query,
The sys admin was nervous but I said, “Don’t be leery,”
“This man is exactly the resource we seek,”
“This man is none other than old St. Geek!”

With sweat from his brow and fingers that blazed,
He tickled the keyboard o’er the floor that was raised.
He got to a dialog where I thought he should click “OK”
But he knew the renegade software would say, “No Way”

With skill and aplomb he rescued our server,
He answered each prompt with incredible fervor.
The noise from the hard drive began to slowly subside,
And I could tell he’d be successful in turning the tide.

The server stopped groaning, and clanking and clinking
Not long after that the right lights were blinking.
He glanced at us over his shoulder, never missing a command,
And with a wink and a nod, said, “Who’s your Geek, man?”

He cleaned up the evidence of our upgrade gone awry,
And I knew in the morning the CIO would not cry.
My job would be spared and I am eternally glad,
For old St. Geek and the bag of tricks that he had.

He returned to his VeeDub and opened the moon roof
And ‘ere we could snap a picture to claim as our proof
He punched it and laid rubber but I did hear him say,
“Happy Holidays to all, and to all, safe upgrades!”

©Gordie Zeigler 12/2004, NewVa Corridor Technology Council
Obviously inspired by Clement Clark Moore via Canonical List of ‘Twas the Night Before Christmas Variations

Great engineering!

Are you saying bad decisions, plus long hours, plus lots of enthusiasm, produces great engineering. Not if you stand aour yacking about it all day.
From Dilbert, via Star-Tribune 2015-12-06

How many Apple Watches?

A year ago today, 2014-12-08, the Motley Fool predicted that Apple could sell between 22.6 to 30 million Apple Watches.

How did Tim and company do?  As I’m writing this on 2014-12-08, I think that they will be closer to the 30 million number than 22.6.